Study: Global warming may diminish Atlantic hurricane activitySo, warmer water fuels hurricanes, but can also create more hurricane-weakening wind shear.
Vecchi and Soden used 18 complex computer climate models to anticipate the effects of warming in the years 2001-2020 and 2018-2100.
Included in the results were an increase in vertical wind shear over the tropical Atlantic and eastern Pacific oceans.
Vertical wind shear is a difference in wind speed or direction at different altitudes. When a hurricane encounters vertical wind shear the hurricane can weaken when the heat of rising air dissipates over a larger area.
We really don't know what's going to happen in the future, do we?